Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.661909 11.922234 13.283063 14.863429 16.650561 18.611463 20.929588
2025-04-13 8.445683 10.065247 11.938279 14.271399 17.109290 20.461127 24.737648
2025-04-20 7.196890 9.066620 11.363057 14.406865 18.358981 23.348737 30.176215
2025-04-27 6.299598 8.338171 10.980367 14.684543 19.789164 26.642334 36.650985
2025-05-04 5.529810 7.648215 10.529107 14.777516 20.958022 29.737018 43.357520
2025-05-11 4.787123 6.882833 9.856835 14.445242 21.453880 31.931968 49.115065
2025-05-18 4.205659 6.263174 9.298303 14.178992 21.977267 34.204319 55.326328
2025-05-25 3.737964 5.748329 8.821088 13.954741 22.507361 36.527838 61.966437
2025-06-01 3.370426 5.339629 8.450443 13.836743 23.170298 39.130223 69.477352
2025-06-08 3.072575 5.004624 8.152363 13.788851 23.926205 41.970779 77.859664
2025-06-15 2.900121 4.853993 8.135378 14.209819 25.546904 46.554760 90.276025
2025-06-22 2.668428 4.575731 7.866913 14.144104 26.257738 49.538989 100.043769
2025-06-29 2.415147 4.239061 7.469704 13.812299 26.457144 51.643811 108.563602
2025-07-06 2.207055 3.961632 7.148789 13.583887 26.826265 54.142484 118.414586
2025-07-13 2.095524 3.849941 7.121466 13.923300 28.394169 59.368356 135.439988
2025-07-20 2.001990 3.761962 7.128546 14.331183 30.163720 65.311491 155.391929
2025-07-27 1.891495 3.629394 7.033416 14.513321 31.467135 70.421557 174.382139
2025-08-03 1.745524 3.411829 6.744895 14.245245 31.718059 73.126303 187.758267
2025-08-10 1.618475 3.220334 6.490080 14.019493 32.034138 76.036555 202.315742
2025-08-17 1.506289 3.048935 6.259976 13.821081 32.386778 79.093788 217.960603
2025-08-24 1.412760 2.908121 6.081131 13.719040 32.961283 82.813281 236.371500
2025-08-31 1.332609 2.788620 5.936857 13.681027 33.692000 87.067690 257.388398
2025-09-07 1.293618 2.755452 5.981232 14.104678 35.683262 95.103296 292.223473